Scoring My 2016 Predictions

Jim Machi : Industry Insight
Jim Machi

Scoring My 2016 Predictions

This is the time of year I typically grade myself on the predictions I made this time last year.

NFV: I predicted that we’ll see someone claim that they have implemented an NFV network, but I also said that it will be hard to believe that it would all be able to happen in 2016 because of the MANO interop.  As far as I know, no one has made an NFV network claim, but MANO interop is still a mess.  So I get a B here, even though I’m going to appeal to the teacher to give me an A, because I was really right.

5G: I predicted we will not see any actual 5G specs in 2016.  I got an A. 

Public Switched Phone Networks (PTSN): I said we’d see some more commentary on PSTN sunset in 2016.  Yes, we did, but it was not as vociferous as 2013/2014.  So I get a B.  I think it’s just reality now.

Internet of Things (IoT): I predicted “IoT is going to explode in 2016, even more than 2015.  Just from a perspective of marketing hype.” Got that right, but then again, this was an easy class. 

WebRTC: I also predicted 2016 will be more of the same with WebRTC regarding underperforming and less hype.  It was. 

So that’s it.  That’s the end of my predictions.  Unless someone like me says, yet again, 2017 will be “The Year of Video.”

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