First Coffee for August 24, 2005

David Sims : First Coffee
David Sims
| CRM, ERP, Contact Center, Turkish Coffee and Astroichthiology:

First Coffee for August 24, 2005

By David Sims
[email protected]

The news as of the first coffee this morning, and the music is the pinnacle of pop-rock, 1968’s Something Else by The Kinks – more fun than The Beatles, more rock than Pet Sounds and way more intelligent than anything else at the time:

“It’s really a Dantesque scene,” said police officer Arioso Obregon.

Another plane goes down, this one in Peru. First CoffeeSM isn’t a paranoid conspiracy theorist, except when it comes to the left-wing MSM never giving President Bush any credit for anything whatsoever – the man could single-handedly cure cancer and the headlines would be “Cancer Researchers Thrown Out Of Work By Bush,” “Leukemia Sufferers: Why Is Bush Ignoring Us?” and “Cancer Cure Too Late For Many” and TV coverage would focus on AIDS activists protesting the lack of a cure for AIDS and one six-year old Hispanic girl in Albuquerque who will have died of cancer a week before the cure became available, with the family crying that “people like us” don’t matter enough to Bush for him to find that cure a little bit faster – but doesn’t it seem like there’ve been quite a few plane crashes recently?

Or maybe First CoffeeSM’s just thinking of his family’s upcoming trip to see Mrs. First CoffeeSM’s family in New Zealand, which will entail that old favorite Antalya- Istanbul- Dubai- Singapore- Brisbane- Auckland itinerary, and back again. We don’t need to be reading about more plane crashes for a while, okay?

The news yesterday was that CRM is “back,” that the market’s going great guns again.

Half right.

Remember 1979? That year a single named “Rapper’s Delight” by the Sugarhill Gang hit the charts. When it did, rap/hip-hop accounted for 2.5 percent of the Top 40 chart, despite a 100 percent increase from 1978. The band Blondie quickly copied it with “Rapture,” scoring one of their bigger post-New Wave hits.

Most critics at the time said well, it’s an interesting new sound, this rap, hip-hop, whatever you want to call it, it’ll be popular in the clubs for a year or two, influence a few mainline acts and peter out, no staying power. Not really a viable long-term business vehicle for the industry, you know. Flash in the pan.

Today, 25 years later, rap/hip-hop is the dominant pop music genre. It’s the rappers and hip-hoppers who are signing the huge contracts, getting radio play, producing the cool ring tones and doing the beer ads on TV. Oh, and you can catch Blondie’s oldies act on their tour of southern Wales. Good seats still available.

It’s hosted CRM, CRM software you rent which resides on someone else’s servers, which is where it’s at, growing like crazy. AMR Research found that while the overall CRM market grew ten percent, none too shabby, granted, to about $11 billion, sales of hosted customer management applications grew 105 percent in 2004.

Overall, in 2003, CRM’s revenue was 95 percent from installed applications, and five percent from hosted. In 2004 hosted had almost doubled that, with the deck tilting to 91 to 9 percent. It might still be single figures, but that’s quite a shift, folks.

“The report indicates that the hosted model has reached prime time as a delivery method for Customer Relationship Management applications… the hosted model has reinvigorated a market that failed to grow over the past several years,” said Rob Bois, senior research analyst at AMR Research. “The hosted category has changed the whole perception of customer management with faster implementations, quicker time to value, and easy customization.”

Hosted’s two stars these days are RightNow Technologies and salesforce.com, which saw 97 percent and 83 percent growth rates, respectively. In terms of overall revenue salesforce.com zoomed up the charts from number 22 to 12 with a bullet, but probably isn’t going to crash through the silicon ceiling of the installed-base application vendors.

Still, there is the Sugarhill Gang to think about...

SAP’s taking over the #1 place from Siebel is in no small part due to dollar-euro exchange rates working in favor of the German company, but still, they are #1 now. AMR expects SAP to find success in the manufacturing sector and for Siebel’s hosted CRM OnDemand product to be the company’s hope. Ironic, as viciously as Tom Siebel blasted hosted CRM when salesforce.com came out, that it might be the company’s lifeline now that they’ve shown the sense to diversify out of buggy whips and zeppelin repair.

First CoffeeSM thinks Siebel has a good shot at becoming a serious hosted player. At least they’re in the water swimming with the Right Now, salesforce.com and NetSuite sharks and learning as they go, unlike SAP, who has yet to dip a toe in the hosted market. Microsoft can’t even get their installed version out the door, any success in hosted is a long way off.

The listing of the vendors ranked by revenue is the usual scorecard, SAP and Siebel with 15 and 12 percent of the market, PeopleSoft with four percent, Amdocs, Dendrite, Oracle-with-the-PeopleSoft-asterisk at three percent and Aspect (about the only significant CRM vendor who’s expected to see a decline in market share in 2005), Avaya, Cisco-ICSG and The Boys From Redmond splashing around in the two percent pool.

OnviSource, the parent company of CadCom Telesystems, Business Solutions and Axius Portals, has announced the purchase of Davacord, Inc. in an all-cash transaction.

Davacord sells converged contact center recording and quality monitoring products that give call centers performance and liability protection, without complex integrations or software upgrades. Davacord’s products are currently used by more than 700 customers in North America, Europe and Asia Pacific, including many Fortune 500 customers.

OnviSource is the parent of a group of companies offering contact centers a suite of integrated system and software applications, hosted application services, telecom access services and business outsourcing services in sales, marketing, and business operations.

For whatever it’s worth, earlier this year Davacord was named the 2005 Member’s Choice Winner for the industry’s best recording and quality monitoring tools by ContactCenterWorld.com. The award was tabulated by the highest number of votes from actual users of call recording and quality monitoring products who rated nominated companies on the quality of their products, ongoing support and overall satisfaction.

IEX Corporation, a Tekelec company and Keynomics LLC have announced a partnership where IEX will offer its customers Talk, Type, Listen, a contact center agent productivity training program designed to enhance agent computer keyboarding and transcription skills.

The offering is developed by Keynomics and is provided as a Web-based hosted program accessed via the WebStation Plus module available with the IEX TotalView Workforce Management system. The training is designed to deliver permanent improvements in contact center productivity, quality and ergonomics in terms of how an agent interfaces simultaneously with the caller and the agent’s computer.

IEX sells workforce management and optimization technology for contact centers. Keynomics sells productivity and quality software for improving corporate keyboarding and office ergonomic techniques.

Dow Jones is reporting that “the call-center business in the Philippines will continue to grow robustly in the coming years, albeit at a slower pace than that of the past five years,” citing Bong Borja, president of PeopleSupport Inc. and a director of the Call Center Association of the Philippines.

Borja recently told a business forum that the industry is expected to grow seat capacity by 50 percent to 70 percent this year after ending 2004 with a total of 45,000 agent seats, equivalent to 72,000 jobs. In 2000 “this sector of the business process outsourcing industry had a capacity of 2,000 seats and employed 3,000 agents,” Dow Jones reports.

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