Messaging and Spam Predictions

April 22, 2005

The Radicati Group issued its Radicati Market Stats and Commentary earlier this week. I have been reviewing their reports for several months now. Particularly of interest are their predictions about spam. This week's report says they expect spam traffic in corporations�to increase to 64% of all traffic in 2008, up from 48% this year. Radicati expects the market for anti-spam engines to reach $198 million in 2009, up from $95 million this year.

Following is an excerpt from this week's report:

EMAIL

We expect spam traffic in corporations to increase from 48% of total e-mail traffic in 2005, to 64% in 2008.

EUROPEAN MESSAGING SOFTWARE

The number of email users in Europe is set to increase from 201 million in 2005, to 252 million users in 2009.

In 2005, the European messaging software market will generate €697B. Over the next four years, this figure will increase at an average rate of 8.4% a year, totaling around €961B by 2009.

The number of corporate mailboxes in Europe is set to grow from 124M mailboxes in 2005, to 168M mailboxes in 2009.

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SECURITY

In 2005, we estimate that 52% of corporate mailboxes are protected by a single anti-virus solution; by 2009 we estimate that 51% of corporate mailboxes will be protected by 2 anti-virus layers.

Worldwide revenue in the Anti-Spam Engine market is set to increase from $95 million in 2005, to $198 million in 2009.

WIRELESS EMAIL

We project that the number of worldwide enterprise wireless email users will increase from 3.2 million in 2004, to 38.7 million users in 2008.

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AB -- 4/22/05

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