Recently in cellular Category

Rumors are flying that the do-no-evilers over at Google are getting ready to launch the much-speculated-upon ‘Gphone’—or at least the software and services needed for such a phone to function. The rumor-mill flames were fanned by a Wall Street Journal article this morning, which quoted “people familiar with the matter” as saying that a Gphone software unveiling will be coming soon.
 
According to the Wall Street Journal’s report, Google’s goal with its allegedly upcoming release is to “make applications and services as accessible on cellphones as they are on the Internet.” Rich Tehrani predicted in a blog post earlier today that it’s unlikely Gphone can be any more wow-worthy than Apple’s iPhone.
 
“Somehow I have trouble believing Google will have a device anywhere near as useful as Apple’s iPhone,” Tehrani wrote. “In addition, I think the audience attracted to a Gphone are already iPhone users.”
 
The Wall Street Journal article hinted, however, that in developing its version of the mobile phone, Google is taking on a much bigger mission than simply wowing consumers with cool and useful features: the company’s “do no evil” focus on openness and universal information access means it is in for a tough fight against the established dynamic of the U.S. cellphone industry, in which service providers (carriers) have ‘considerable clout,’ controlling distribution of phones through retail stores.
 
“Google is trying to loosen the grip wireless carriers have over the software and services consumers can access on cellphones,” Wall Street Journal said in its report.
 
That’s quite a noble mission, and just the sort of gargantum task that Google would take on. I wish the company luck.
 
Wall Street Journal said that within a fortnight, Google will be releasing software and services designed to enable handset manufacturers to develop and release their own Google-powered phones by the middle of 2008. The company allegedly is in talks with various manufacturers, both in the U.S. and abroad, regarding the production of Gphone devices. Which companies? Speculation is that the list includes HTC and LG Electronics.
 
Partnerships with wireless carriers are also in the works, Wall Street Journal said. Which ones? Most likely are T-Mobile (the U.S. arm of Deutsche Telekom AG) in the U.S. and Orange SA and 3 U.K. in Europe.
 
Not too surprisingly, Wall Street Journal said Gphone will tie together a variety of Google applications and services, including Google Maps, a search engine, Gmail and YouTube. The company reportedly is aiming to have the phone software (including the OS) be completely open so independent software developers can build their own Gphone applications.
 
All I can say is, we live in exciting times. Stay tuned.
If you live in the U.S. and Europe and feel as if every person you know (including yourself) owns and uses a cellphone, you’re right on. A new report out this month from Pyramid Research confirms the suspicion that the mobile phone markets in “First World” economies are pretty saturated.
 
According to Pyramid Research, at the end of 2006 there were almost 2.8 billion subscribers to mobile services around the world, translating to an overall penetration rate of 44 percent. In rich economies like Western Europe, the penetration rate exceeded 100 percent. But in emerging markets like Africa and Southeast Asia, penetration averaged less than 20 percent.
 
Pyramid Research also said in its report, The Next Billion: How Emerging Markets are Shaping the Mobile Industry, that another billion mobile subscriptions are forecasted by year-end 2009. Since most people in the developed world already have at least one such subscription, about 85 percent of this projected growth will come from emerging markets.
 
The question is, what happens when everyone in the world (or at least, all except those literally starving) has a cellphone? How will service providers and vendors keep growing their revenues when the global market is saturated? Well, there’s Moore’s Law to ensure that new and better phones and services are needed to replace the ones already purchased.
 
And if that fails, there are the untapped markets of the moon and Mars.
One of the bigger stories in the mobile space this week is the case of a New York woman who’s suing Apple for $1 million because of the way the company handled recent price cuts and changes to its iPhone and iPod product lines.
 
Dongmei Li, the woman who filed the suite, is p-oed because she bought a 4GB model of iPhone in July, and now her phone is obsolete; 68 days after iPhone’s launch in the U.S., Apple cut the price of the 8 GB iPhone from $599 to $399 and phased out the 4GB model.
 
Li claims that Apple’s actions represent “price discrimination, underselling, discrimination in rebates, deceptive action and other wrongdoings,” Times Online said in a Tuesday report. Li also thinks that Apple was wrong to lower the price because market conditions didn’t make the change necessary.
 
I have two comments about this. First, I think the whole lawsuit is silly. Maybe the price-cuts and product line changes happened more quickly than expected, but come on! Technology changes at a breakneck speed, and anyone buying a gadget expecting it will still be cutting edge a few months or a year down the road is out of touch with market realities.
 
Sometimes the changes happen faster than anticipated, but they will occur and at that point the owner has to decide if the product purchased still has use or if it’s time for another upgrade. End of story.
 
Second, the amount Li is suing Apple for seems rather puny. I’m not a legal expert, so perhaps there are restrictions that I’m not aware of, but it seems to me that $1 million is just a drop in the bucket for Apple. I mean, the company finished last fiscal year (ended Sept. 30, 2006) with $10 billion in cash, and pulled in $818 million net profits during the third quarter of 2007 alone. I hardly see how a $1 million lawsuit will garner much real attention from anyone but bloggers like myself who jump to write about any “juicy” bit of wireless news.
 
What do you think—is Li justified in her lawsuit or just insignificant?
At its Developer Forum Wednesday, Intel officials outlined the company’s plans to combine WiMAX with Centrino Duo processors to develop what it claims will be a new category of mobile, broadband-connected computing devices. The initiative, which is slated to bear fruit next year, includes the use of High-k metal gate silicon technology to deliver better battery life.
 
CBR reporter Rhonda Ascierto pointed out in a Thursday report that Intel’s main focus remains on notebook computers, but the company is branching out into handheld, Internet-enabled devices and, even more of a reach, the WiMAX networks needed to support such products.
 
“Intel's WiMax ambitions may still be premature, at least in the US where cellular coverage is almost ubiquitous and WiFi is fast becoming available throughout major metropolitan areas,” Ascierto said in the report.
 
Intel officials said its new WiMAX-enabled products, which fit into the new category of “Mobile Internet Devices” or MIDs, will use the company’s latest 45nm processors.
 
Hmm… now I wonder—does iPhone fit into the MID category?
 
In a Wednesday announcement about the WiMAX initiative, Anand Chandrasekher, senior vice president and general manager of Intel’s ultra mobility group stressed consumer demand for the “full Internet” on mobile devices.
 
That seems like a pretty overt reference to the capabilities offered by Apple’s iPhone, if you ask me.
 
In fact, one could view this entire initiative as an effort to compete with iPhone specifically and maybe, in a broader sense, other smartphone/service offerings. That seems like a pretty big bite for Intel to get it mouth around.
 
“Not only does Intel want to create an entire new category of handheld computers called Mobile Internet Devices, it wants to set up a whole new network to service those devices,” CNet blogger Tom Krazit said in a Wednesday post.
 
Stay tuned—we could be in for an interesting ride.
If you happened to visit Apple’s Web site today, you may have noticed the “Open letter to iPhone owners from Steve Jobs,” posted Apple-style inside an image of the phone’s screen itself.
 
If you happened to be among the folks who stood in line to snap up one of the first iPhones in June, the letter probably came as a bit of a victory. You see, this week Apple revamped its line of iPods and iPhones, and lowered the price of the 8GB iPhone from $599 to $399. That means earlier adopters essentially paid $200 extra solely for the benefit of having an iPhones for a few weeks longer than everyone else.
 
In the letter, Jobs acknowledged the “hundreds of e-mails” he received from iPhone users upset that the value of their new toy dropped $200 only two months after they bought it.
 
To appease these irked customers, Apple is now offering a $100 “store credit toward the purchase of any product at an Apple Retail Store or the Apple Online Store.” Further details a slated to be posted on Apple’s Web site next week.
 
Despite offering the store credit, Jobs stood by the decision to lower iPhone’s price: “I am sure we are making the right decision to lower the price of the 8GB iPhone from $599 to $399, and that now is the right time to do it.” He hinted that the price cut has at least something to do with the pending holiday season—it’s a way to boost sales during what is usually the busiest part of the year for companies that sell consumer electronics.
 
Did you buy an iPhone early for $599? If so, is the $100 store credit enough to sooth your ruffled feathers, or do you still feel gypped?

Palm Foleo RIP

September 6, 2007 11:45 AM | 0 Comments
Less than six months after announcing the Foleo, “the first computer designed to be a companion to a smartphone,” Palm has discontinued the product, CEO Ed Colligan said in a Sept. 4 blog entry.
 
The Foleo was essentially a mini laptop designed to sync with a smartphone. It was one company’s attempt to fulfill the demands of users for portable computing and telephony. Apparently, there just wasn’t a market for the product—a criticism that some analysts expressed when Foleo was announced in May.
 
I say “announced” rather than “launched” because, as Colligan acknowledged in his blog entry, no Foleos were ever shipped.
 
“Because we were nearly at the point for shipping Foleo, this was a very tough decision,” Colligan wrote. “Yet I am convinced this is the right thing to do.”
 
He continued: “In the course of the past several months, it has become clear that the right path for Palm is to offer a single, consistent user experience around this new platform design and a single focus for our platform development efforts.”
 
Hmm… ‘single, consistent user experience’… Can anyone say “iPhone”?
 
Colligan said Palm is now working on building the next generation of its software platform, which will boast “a modern flexible UI, instant performance and an incredibly simple and elegant development environment.”
 
Again, can you say “iPhone”?
 
When Foleo was announced in May, TMCnet president and group publisher Rich Tehrani said that he just didn’t see a market for the product.
 
“I can think of virtually no-one who needs it,” Tehrani wrote. “I keep trying to come up with a scenario where the Foleo makes sense and I just can’t. Palm would have been much better off making a truly functional ultra-mobile PC.”
 
The market has spoken, and it turns out Tehrani and the other analysts were right. What do you think—is Palm now focusing its attention correctly or making another mistake?

Apple Reinvents iPod Lineup, Again

September 5, 2007 4:41 PM | 0 Comments
Well, it’s September and you know what that means—time for Apple to announce a whole new lineup of iPods! Today’s announcement about a new product lineup was a bit more exciting than usual because it included a new iPhone-like product as well.
 
The new “best iPods ever” lineup features the iPod shuffle (1GB, in five “remixed” colors, for $79); the iPod Nano now reshaped in a shorter and squatter form factor to accommodate a color screen for playing video (4GB model $149, 8GB model $199); the iPod Classic, which plays video and music and boasts 160GB of storage (price tag $249); the iPod Touch, which is essentially a iPhone without the phone, featuring the cool multi-touch interface found on iPhone, plus a 3.5 inch display and WiFi Web browsing (8GB model $299, 16GB model $399); and of course iPhone which will soon be even more of a value proposition, Apple claims, when the iTunes Wi-Fi Music Store launches. Also coming soon: custom ringtones.
 
I must say, I do appreciate that the Nano is now video-enabled without losing its solid-state, Flash storage. I’ve had a Nano for almost a year now, and love its big storage in a small and relatively indestructible nature thanks to solid state media. Look, Ma, no moving parts! I would consider upgrading to the new Nano just to get video capability. By the way, the iPod Touch also uses a Flash drive.
 
No Apple announcement would be complete without some words about iTunes, and this one was no exception Apple is now in the processing of rolling out iTunes Wi-Fi Music Store, which as the name implies will let users download music wirelessly using the WiFi capability on the iPod Touch or the iPhone.
 
Apparently as a way to demonstrate how powerful Wi-Fi Music Store can be, Apple is partnering with Starbucks Coffee on a couple of value-added features. Basically here’s how it will work: a user walks into a Starbucks Store with an iPod Touch or iPhone and the device recognizes the Starbucks wireless network and auto logs into the iTunes Store (free access). The device then displays the song currently playing in the store, along with ten previously played songs. The user can then opt to purchase a copy of that song on the spot. Wi-Fi Music Store will be available at Starbucks stores Oct. 2 in New York and Seattle, Nov. 7 in the San Francisco Bay Area, Feb. 2008 in Los Angeles and March 2008 in Chicago.
 
The “Now Playing” feature IMHO does have significant potential, assuming (as I do) that it eventually will be freed from the confines of Starbucks by expanding the concept to other stores that play music. (Like, say, a store that sells music.) Talk about a way to market songs! For such on-demand access to purchasing music as it is heard, I’m sure lots of people will be willing to pay per track—assuming the service works quickly and seamlessly enough.
 
What’s perhaps most significant about today’s announcement from Apple, I think, is that after the company introduced a fully converged device earlier this year, it is now in a sense re-diversifying by introducing a product that appeals to people who want a little less convergence; people who don’t want to pay $600 for a phone, even if it is cool, but will pay $400 for a music player that lets you surf the Web and download songs wirelessly. But wait—there is also a $400 iPhone. Will people really pay $400 for what is essentially a dumbed-down product when they could pay the same amount for the whole package (albeit 8GB vs. 16GB)? Time will tell.
INTERNET TELEPHONY Conference & EXPO West 2007 is less than a month away. (The event this year is being held at the Los Angeles Convention Center in California, Sept. 10-12, 2007.) If you haven’t registered yet, here’s a plug: this show is not just about IP communications. It’s about wireless, too.
 
Here are a few of the wireless-related companies that will be at the show.
 
a la Mobile – makes Linux-based platforms for mobile handsets. Chief Technology Officer David Rivas will be speaking. (Session info here.)
 
Airwide Solutions – makes mobile messaging infrastructure products and applications. Chief Technology Officer Vincent Kadar will be speaking. (Session info here.)
 
EarthLink Wi-Fi Phone – a service that includes a Wi-Fi-enabled handset and connectivity. Director David Elgas will be speaking. (Session info here.)
 
Kineto Wireless – developer of unlicensed mobile access (UMA) technology for fixed-mobile convergence. Associate Vice President of Marketing Steve Shaw will be speaking. (Session info here.)
 
MobiTV – develops technology that lets users watch live TV on their cell phones, anywhere. Chief Technology Officer Kay Johansson will be speaking. (Session info here.)
 
MOBIVOX – provides cheap international calls from mobile phones, with or without Skype. CEO Stephane Marceau will be speaking. (Session info here.)
 
That whetted your appetite? Register for ITEXPO here. Then, while you're waiting for the show to start, check out this list of recommended sessions to attend.
I spent Thursday in the Big Apple at Nasdaq Studios, observing the festivities as Synchronoss Technologies—the company whose software is used by AT&T to handle behind-the-scenes nitty-gritty associated with activating an iPhone—celebrated its first anniversary as a public company. Synchronoss officials were also in a jovial mood over the company's recently signed multi-year deal with AT&T to provide ongoing operational support of the Apple iPhone and its Monday unveiling of a similar deal with broadband Internet service provider Clearwire.
 
The day dawned a misty, muggy one; waiting for my Metro North train into the city from Westchester, I observed to myself that while it wasn't raining the air was nonetheless positively wet. It was also a day when some people's commutes were disrupted somewhat; as we rolled into Grand Central Terminal, a conductor announced over the PA system that some subways might not be running. This was due to the Wednesday steam pipe explosion about a block from Grand Central that left what someone later described to me as "a crator." Heading further underground to catch the 7 train to Times Square, I asked a police officer what the deal was and he told me that all trains were running but some exits were blocked.
 
I arrived at Nasdaq studios at 11:00, and met for about 20 minutes with Stephen Waldis, CEO of Synchronoss. (Full interview coming soon.) iPhone, of course, was among the topics we discussed. I asked him about the difficulties some people had activating their iPhones, and he observed that according to Reuters less than two percent of customers had this difficulty—a pretty impressive number considering the size of the launch. He also noted that "difficulty" in this case meant the customer wasn't able to activate in the roughly five minutes promised, which in and of itself is a very short amount of time.
 
Over lunch, which started at 11:30, I sat with a lively group of people including Omar Tellez (EVP of Marketing at Synchronoss), Paul Banco from market opinion firm SeekingAlpha, and Andy Cox (CIO at Synchronoss). We talked a lot about the future of wireless, including ways to improve mobile device battery life and the possibility that perhaps one day satellites will be used to blanket the planet with not just in on-demand radio but voice and data services too.
 
After lunch, Waldis gave a relatively brief speech in which he outlined the trends he sees in the triple play market. He concluded that what's ensuing now is a battle for the digital home—a battle that is really heating up because consumers are ready to spend money on converged services. He estimated that many households are willing to spend a total of $157 or more on various digital services for both practical and pleasurable purposes.
 
What consumers want, Waldis said, is to be able to access any content, on any device, using any network, via any application, at any time. The challenge for providers is to figure out how to meet this demand. Providers are challenged by network fragmentation, back-office disparate systems, manual staff, and device/content proliferation. All of these factors result in high defect rates, high costs, and lost revenue.
 
Nor surprisingly given the solutions his company offers, Waldis said the solution to these solutions is bringing separate silos together with a single platform. Such a platform will drive success by enabling fast, reliable networks and easy-to-use services. A single platform also offers the advantages of consistency, scalability/configurability and cost-effectiveness.
 
Waldis' presentation was followed by a panel discussion. The panelists were from three of Synchronoss' biggest clients: Catherine Avgiris representing Comcast, Joseph Varello representing Cablevision and Richard Digeronimo representing Level 3. Mark Winther from IDC moderated.
Panel Discussion, Synchronoss First Birthday Event
 
The panel topics largely centered around a prediction that, by 2010, 40 percent of U.S. households will subscribe to triple play services—and how providers are working to make that vision a reality. The panelists had similar but somewhat differing viewpoints. For example, on the issue of how to maintain sustainable triple play businesses by cutting costs in the back office, Digeronimo from Level 3 emphasized the need for automation; Avgiris from Comcast focused on the manta 'Don't automate, obliterate,' which refers to simplifying processes by removing unnecessary steps and automating the necessary ones; and Varello said the key is to view cost-cutting as an ongoing experience in which the provider must learn from past experience.
 
The discussion was followed by a Q and A with the panelists, and then a Q and A with Synchronoss execs. This wrapped up the main activities, but I hung around with some other folks for about an hour to view the Nasdaq closing ceremony at 4:00 in which Waldis rung the bell. While waiting, I enjoyed a nice cheese and fruit spread, and chatted for a while with Joe Mindo, account executive at Springboard, the firm that handles PR for Synchronoss. We commiserated about the frustrations of NYC metro area traffic and the terrific view of Times Square from second floor of the Nasdaq studios, among other smalltalk chit-chat.
View from Nasdaq Studios
 
While waiting, I observed highlights from the day's financial transactions. eBay was down -1.5 percent, Cisco up +1.8 percent, Google down -0.1 percent and Clearwire up +34 percent.
 
Just before the closing bell ceremony, it began pouring rain outside—a brief shower that was over by the time I left the building about 4:30. It seemed a good metaphor for the topics of the day's events: in the technology industry, there may be rough financial times, but things always bounce back one way or another.
iPhone is still in its infancy (not even a month old yet), and already rumors are flying that it could soon have a younger sibling. A Reuters report on Monday said that Taiwan-based JP Morgan analyst Kevin Chung has connections in the supply channel who claim an iPhone based on the iPod Nano is already in the works.
 
Chung apparently issued a report on July 8 in which he cited both his supply channel contacts, and a patent application filed July 5 with the U.S. Patent and Trademark Office, as evidence that the iPhone Nano is in utero.
 
According to Chung, Apple plans to convert the iPod Nano into an iPhone because “it’s probably the only way to launch a lower end phone without severely cannibalizing iPod Nano,” the Reuters report quoted him as saying.
 
Chung predicts the iPhone Nano will sell for $300 or less and, perhaps predictably, have “rather limited functionality.”
 
This claim of Chung’s is backed up, Reuters said, by another analyst—Gene Munster of Piper Jaffray. Jaffray reportedly predicted that Apple plans to release iPhone-like iPods later this year.
 
Hmm… so the idea is to market the lower-end products as “iPods with a phone” rather than “a phone with an iPod.” Is this a distinction that people will care about? I’m not so sure. If people want a music player, and are willing to shell out more bucks for both added functionality and coolness, they’ll buy an iPod. If they want a phone and an iPod, maybe they’ll buy an iPhone instead.
 
Does any of this surprise me? No, not really. Of course Apple will, at some point, release a lower-end model. The company is not stupid; it knows, just like the food company that supplies essentially the same cereal in two different boxes, one ‘store-brand’ and one ‘brand-name,’ that it can sell more units if it offers different levels of functionality at different price-points.
 
Look at Apple’s iPod line and you’ll get a pretty good sense of how iPhone’s different models will probably look. You’ll have the basic phone that only makes calls and plays music. Then you’ll have higher-end models with different amounts of storage space that do all the cool things the $600 iPhone does now.
 
The only question in my mind is how long it will be before Apple brings the younger iPhone siblings to gestation. Later this year? Sometime in 2008? I can’t see it happening before the holiday season, which actually would be a great time to roll out a new product, don’t you think?
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This page is a archive of recent entries in the cellular category.

Bluetooth is the previous category.

fixed-mobile convergence is the next category.

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