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In a move that left consumers and wireless industry analysts gasping with surprise, Verizon Wireless let the world know Monday night that it has changed its mind about Google’s mobile Android platform. That’s right, the carrier that never stops working for you has admitted maybe it was wrong about Android and open standards, and would now like to be part of the future, thank you very much.
 
Sensing a bit of snarkiness in the paragraph above? Yep, that’s right. It seems to me that, given Verizon Wireless’ announcement last week that it plans to open its network to outside developers and manufacturers next year, the announcement about Android is hardly that surprising.
 
The story about Android was apparently broken by BusinessWeek, in a report quoting Verizon Wireless CEO Lowell McAdam as explaining that the Android announcement culminates a year’s worth of evolution in the company’s strategy. The company’s new outlook on life was borne out of many meetings with FCC officials and executives at co-parent Verizon Communication (Vodafone also owns a stake).
 
Why the change of heart? Apparently Verizon Wireless, despite being so successful, sees the writing on the wall: the future of mobile and wireless lies with open standards and open networks, not proprietary practices. Things might be rosy now for the company, but it seems to think that might change if it doesn’t get on board with the trends of the future.
 
Smart move, in my opinion. By deciding to open its network, and by embracing Android, Verizon Wireless may well be known as the carrier that helped lead the way to a more open wireless market in the U.S.
 
What do you think—is Verizon Wireless being smart or just bowing to industry pressures?
INTERNET TELEPHONY Conference & EXPO West 2007 is less than a month away. (The event this year is being held at the Los Angeles Convention Center in California, Sept. 10-12, 2007.) If you haven’t registered yet, here’s a plug: this show is not just about IP communications. It’s about wireless, too.
 
Here are a few of the wireless-related companies that will be at the show.
 
a la Mobile – makes Linux-based platforms for mobile handsets. Chief Technology Officer David Rivas will be speaking. (Session info here.)
 
Airwide Solutions – makes mobile messaging infrastructure products and applications. Chief Technology Officer Vincent Kadar will be speaking. (Session info here.)
 
EarthLink Wi-Fi Phone – a service that includes a Wi-Fi-enabled handset and connectivity. Director David Elgas will be speaking. (Session info here.)
 
Kineto Wireless – developer of unlicensed mobile access (UMA) technology for fixed-mobile convergence. Associate Vice President of Marketing Steve Shaw will be speaking. (Session info here.)
 
MobiTV – develops technology that lets users watch live TV on their cell phones, anywhere. Chief Technology Officer Kay Johansson will be speaking. (Session info here.)
 
MOBIVOX – provides cheap international calls from mobile phones, with or without Skype. CEO Stephane Marceau will be speaking. (Session info here.)
 
That whetted your appetite? Register for ITEXPO here. Then, while you're waiting for the show to start, check out this list of recommended sessions to attend.
Sometimes, being an early adopter of new technology is not the best business strategy. That’s the tact being taken by wireless products manufacturer Motorola. CNet News reporter David Meyer wrote in a Friday article that, speaking at a ZDNet event in London, Motorola senior products manager Angelo Lamme said the company has no plans to make any 802.11n-based products until the standard is fully ratified by Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers (IEEE).
 
That’s despite the fact that 802.11n may not be ratified until 2009.
 
“We’re going to wait until the final standard has been set,” Meyer quote Lamme as saying. “It doesn't make sense to ship yet, as enterprises won't adopt (802.11n) that early, and we don't want our customers to end up with noncompliant, prestandard equipment.”
 
Wow, that’s quite a firm stance. One wonder, though, how long it will hold out. What if it really does take until 2009 before 802.11n is ratified? Will Motorola really wait that long to start manufacturing the next generation of wireless products? Even though the standard is not yet hardened, a lot of other manufacturers are jumping on board anyway. That could be a mistake, or it could be a smart move given how fast technologies change.
 
Not that I’ve got anything against standards, mind you. I just wonder if Motorola can really afford to take such a strong “wait-till-its-finished” approach when so many of its competitors are unwilling to be so patient. After all, as Meyer points out, another wireless industry group, Wi-Fi Alliance, plans to start certifying 802.11n products in June, despite the fact there’s no guarantee “that equipment currently available will be interoperable with the finalized standard.”
 
802.11, Meyer notes, promises to deliver improved bandwidth and range; many vendors, including Intel, have already started shipping products that conform to the draft 802.11n standard. Since it’s not in final draft yet, though, the standard could change significantly before it’s ratified by IEEE.
 
Meyer quotes Lamme as saying that Motorola’s 802.11n strategy is designed to protect enterprises and consumers. Those who adopt 802.11n draft products may later find themselves locked into technology that becomes redundant in only a few years.
 
What do you think—is Motorola making a mistake or being prudent?

CTIA Wireless News Starts Now

March 26, 2007 9:18 AM | 0 Comments
The CTIA Wireless 2007 show kicks off tomorrow in Orlando, Florida. Already the newswires are starting to get flooded with announcements from wireless industry companies promoting their latest products, services and achievements. A quick search on Google News for “ctia” turned up the following:
  • Announcement that the creator of BlackBerry (Mike Lazaridis) has replaced Motorola’s CEO (Ed Zander) as the CTIA keynoter.
  • Announcement from TCS that it has been selected as a CTIA Wireless 2007 E-Tech Award finalist.
  • Announcements from Pantech and Nokia about their displays at the show.
I’m bracing for continued deluge of news as the show gets underway, and will be blogging, albeit from afar, on events and news that catch my eye.
 
In the meantime, here’s a question for you (courtesy of CTIA’s home page): what word do you feel best describes “wireless”?
 
a. Everywhere
b. Marketplace
c. Fashion
d. Exhibits
e. Freedom
f. Global
g. Cool
h. Other
i. None of the above

RuBee Fills in Where RFID Fails

February 2, 2007 6:53 PM | 0 Comments
An EE Times item in the Jan. 27 edition of Information Week reported on the potential uses of RuBee, a new wireless networking protocol announced by Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers (IEEE) last June.
 
IEEE describes RuBee (a.k.a. IEEE 1902.1) as “a bidirectional, on-demand, peer-to-peer, radiating, transceiver protocol operating at wavelengths below 450 Khz. This protocol works in harsh environments with networks of many thousands of tags and has an area range of 10 to 50 feet.”
 
EE Times reporter John Walko notes in the report mentioned above that RuBee looks promising as a way to fill in some of the gaps left by radio frequency identification (RFID) technology. More specifically, the new protocol could be useful for applications of “real-time inventory under harsh environments, even near metal and water and in the presence of electromagnetic noise.”
 
Walko notes in the report that RuBee’s main appeal lies in its ability to deal with harsh environments; “getting accurate RFID reads around liquids and metals has been the most significant obstacle to widespread, cost-effective deployment of the technology.”
 
Because RuBee operates at slower speeds than RFID, it is an alternative rather than a replacement—useful in situations where, since RFID doesn’t work, something slower but relatively comparable could be used instead.
 
IEEE’s RuBee working group will be meeting Feb. 20 in Boston, just before the RFID Smart Labels Conference kicks off. So watch for news about development plans for the protocol. Walko reports that already RuBee has some pretty powerful backers, among them retailers Tesco (in the U.K.), Metro (Germany), Carefour (France), and Best Buy; plus manufacturers and system developers including Hewlett Packard, IBM, and Sony.
 
RuBee-based produced are expected to become available in the next 12 to 18 months, Walko reports.

As is usually the case with technology, once the underlying specifications become standardized, adoption becomes widespread by both consumers and manufacturers/providers. That’s because standardization reassure people they knew what they’re getting, and that it will work the same way in a variety of applications.

 

Research company Parks Associates noted this fact in its recent report about the market for wireless, multimedia networking. The firm predicted that “industry adoption of next-generation specifications will provide a substantial boost to the market for wireless multimedia networking, prompting growth in excess of 50 million wireless network devices by 2010.”

 

Two of the specification poised to help spur the growth are next-gen WiFi and Ultra-wideband (UWB), Parks Associates said.

 

The firm further predicted that annual sales and shipments of wireless multimedia-capable devices (think person computers, fixed and mobile consumer electronics) will grow from 2.5 million units in 2006 to almost 52 million units by the end of 2010. Standardization in the market will play a key role in that growth.

 

Parks Associates analyst Kurt Scherf said in the report that several factors are driving manufacturers and service providers to embrace wireless connectivity:

  • Service providers want more ownership in developing home networking solutions
  • Operators need to reduce CAPEX associated with deploying home networking solutions
  • New content services are on the rise
  • Consumers are in favor of eliminating cables

“These are all positive signs that the 802.11n and WiMedia solutions – among the many home networking options – will continue to drive growth in new home networking applications,” Scherf said in a statement.

As an end-user, I like where things are headed. The geek in my may find the technology inside consumer electronics cool, but when it comes right down to it, in my busy life, I just want my wireless devices to work.

In a recent Sage/CMB Market Pulse newsletter, Chadwick Martin Bailey (a marketing and analytics company) reported that fixed-mobile convergence (FMC) technology is not yet mainstream in corporate America—and offered some reasons why that is.

Among those reasons:

  • Demand for FMC won’t really pick up until enterprises integrate mobile devices into their corporate telephony systems; most have not yet done this.
  • It may be true that business use of mobile phones is prolific, but most of those devices are not connected in any way to the corporate PBX.
  • FMC won’t become mainstream in corporate America until it becomes clear that adopting the technology offers clear return on investment (ROI).
  • Full-blown FMC (as opposed to cellular-only) requires comprehensive WiFI coverage and IP-PBX deployments, which aren’t available everywhere and may present prohibitive costs.

These points make it clear that much work lies ahead before the promise of FMC is realized. We’ll probably get there eventually, but not for a while.

What do you think—is FMC years away? Decades? Why?

ABI Predicts Wibree Growth, If...

November 30, 2006 2:53 PM | 2 Comments

Yesterday in this blog, I wrote about the differences and similarities between established wireless standard Bluetooth and new-kid-on-the-block Wibree. Talk about good timing—guess what landed in my mailbox today? A report from ABI Research regarding the future of, you guessed it, Wibree.

Specifically, ABI is predicting that the market for Wibree products could be worth $513 million by 2011—if certain things happen.

ABI lists several key “ifs” that are required for Wibree to grow as predicted. There include:

  • Nokia forces Wibree into handsets at the earliest opportunity

  • Sillicon vendors bring dual-mode ICs to market at prices close to those of Bluetooth ICs today

  • Ratio of dual-mode to standalone devices grows rapidly after market seeding

  • Bluetooth SIG adopts the Wibree standard

  • Widespread adoption of Wibree by handset vendors

 

In the report, ABI analyst Stuart Carlaw says: “While some industry observers are skeptical about the prospects for Wibree, we believe it is a unique technology that can leverage the very positive market position of Bluetooth in segments such as medical and sports equipment, where the total available market is extremely large and still relatively untouched.”

But, Carlaw cautioned, if Bluetooth SIG thumbs its nose at Wibree, and if handset vendors pass on adopting the new technology, the Wibree market in 2011 will be worth almost nothing.

"These two factors go hand in hand to some degree, and positive noises emanating from both the Bluetooth SIG and Wibree communities provide support for a favorable market forecast,” Carlaw said.

The main advantage of Wibree seems to be its low power consumption. It seems to me that, given this fact, if bandwidth capabilities of the technologies are boosted to the levels of Bluetooth today, the new kid soon will become king.

What do you think?

A reader of this blog recently e-mailed me to ask what I know about the differences between Bluetooth and Wibree. I had to admit to myself that I really didn’t understand the differences and similarities much better than my reader. So I set out to educate myself.

First stop was Wikipedia, where I uncovered the follow definitions for the two technologies.

Wibree – “a digital radio technology (intended to become an open radio standard) designed for ultra low power consumption (button cell battery) within a short range (10 meters / 30 feet) based around low-cost transceiver microchips in each device.”

Bluetooth – “an industrial specification for wireless personal area networks (PANs). Bluetooth provides a way to connect and exchange information between devices such as mobile phones, laptops, PCs, printers, digital cameras and video game consoles via a secure, globally unlicensed short-range radio frequency.”

Wikipedia further explained that WiBree, which operates in the 2.4 GHz band, is designed to complement Bluetooth (although in some circles the two are slated as competitors). WiBree, it should be noted, is new—completion of the specification is expected sometime next year.

Yes, I did mention that WiBree is new, didn’t I? The technology was unveiled in early October by Nokia; that company’s Research Center developed Wibree “as an open industry initiative extending local connectivity to small devices.”

Nokia focused much of its roll-out marketing of Wibree on the new technology’s low power consumption (up to ten times more efficient than Bluetooth), and said Wibree complements other forms of connectivity, such as Bluetooth.

“Wibree is the first open technology offering connectivity between mobile devices or Personal Computers, and small, button cell battery power devices such as watches, wireless keyboards, toys and sports sensors,” Nokia said in an Oct. 3 press release.

So Wibree isn’t a Bluetooth competitor then? I admit that, like MobileTech blogger John Shepler, I was at first suspicious that Wibree is “an example of a big manufacturer looking to establish a proprietary standard so they can hog the market for lower power wireless devices.”

In a recent post, though, Shepler points out that despite Wibree being spearheaded by Nokia, the new standard really is an open project designed to create low-power PANs or Personal Area Networks.

While Bluetooth 2.0, with its 15-30 foot range and up to 3 Mbps bandwidth, fills the niche of most PAN applications nicely, Shepler says that Wibree has a place, too.

“Nokia believes the low power consumption will enable applications that use the small button type batteries to gain wireless access,” Shepler writes. “Perhaps this will also include in-the-ear headsets much like the invisible hearing aids. Who knows, maybe a combination hearing aid / wireless headset will be a hit with the legions of rock music deafened baby boomers now addicted to their cell phones.”

Now that’s a scary thought.

So, we’ve established that Wibree is designed to interoperate with Bluebooth, and that its low power consumption enable it to be useful in very small devices like watches. Wibree may be new, but the kid has potential to knock Bluetooth off its throne.

That may not happen right away (especially since commercial roll-out won’t happen until second quarter of 2006), but my guess is that if Wibree is everything people are saying, the new kid on the block will one day be in charge, especially if its bandwidth capabilities for Wibree are boosted.

Some key manufacturers see the potential in Wibree, too. A quick stop to Nokia’s Wibree pages reveals that the technology already is licensed by Broadcom, CSR, Epson and Nordic Semiconductor. Meanwhile, Suunto and Taiyo Yuden are contributing expertise to development of the standard.

What do you think—is Wibree better than Bluetooth? If they’re competitive, which will win?

So much news has been generated lately about WiFi that sometimes it seems as if the world has forgotten that technology’s younger, more powerful sibling, WiMAX.

But, market research firm In-Stat hasn’t forgotten. In a recent report, the firm predicted some significant growth in worldwide subscribers to WiMAX-based broadband.

In-Stat said it expects 2006 to yield 222,000 WiMAX subscribers, and that number should grow to 19.7 million by the end of 2010. The firm noted that most WiMAX subscribers today are in the Asia/Pacific region.

I find it interesting that, even looking ahead to 2010, WiMAX subscribers are measured in the millions rather than the billions. The technology does need to overcome some notable challenges before it becomes more widely adopted.

“The biggest challenge still comes from competing technologies and services,” In-Stat analyst Daryl Schoolar said in the report. “WiMAX will have difficulty competing in areas that already have established broadband services.”

I have read that one of the most promising markets for WiMAX is rural areas, and in the report Schooler conveys that idea.

“Much of WiMAX's early success will come from under-developed regions of the globe,” he says.

When it does get deployed, it appears likely providers other than those specializing in 3G will be the ones to jump in and get their feet wet. In-Stat predicts that, with the exception of Sprint, most 3G carriers won’t be deploying WiMAX anytime soon.

What do you think lies ahead for WiMAX in the future? Watch this space for more discussion of the topic soon.

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This page is a archive of recent entries in the standards category.

RFID is the previous category.

WiFi is the next category.

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