The news as of the first coffee this morning, and the music
is the ol' iTunes shuffle, current selection "Jesus Walking On the Water"
by The Violent Femmes:
Here we go again. Another highly slanted crap “study”
purporting to show how dangerous it is
to talk on the cell phone while driving. Cue the Moron Choir’s tired,
scratchy refrain about how cell phone usage in cars should be banned.
First CoffeeSM will listen to pleas to ban cell
phone usage while driving once roadside ads, rubbernecking at wreck sites, drive-through
fast food, driving while tired, driving after taking prescription drugs, car
audio systems, talking to passengers, looking at scenery and loose objects in cars,
easily distractable and generally flat-out stupid people driving are all
banned, since every honest study that’s
ever been done shows all of those
cause far, far more accidents than cell phone usage.
Prescription drugs alone cause one-third of all accidents.
One third! That’s the same percentage caused by people under the influence of
pot, coke, heroin and alcohol combined.
You’d think people more interested in auto safety than political agendas would
be clamoring to ban prescription drug usage while driving, an activity which is
perfectly legal in all 50 states. No protest on the horizon that First CoffeeSM
can see.
But that isn’t as sexy for cheapjack politicians and
bureaucrats angling for face time on the local news, or the prune-lipped safety
Nazis who dream of laws prohibiting motorcycles, bicycles, driving, eating,
walking and breathing.
The Associated
Press article reporting the “study” starts out “Drivers using cellular
phones are four times as likely to get into a crash that can cause injuries
serious enough to send them to the hospital, said an insurance study released
Tuesday.”
Note that, “insurance study.” Can you guess what the “study”
will “find?” Let’s continue.
Second paragraph: “Research by the Insurance Institute for
Highway Safetysuggests that using a hands-free device instead of a
hand-held phone while behind the wheel will not necessarily improve safety. The
institute [an organization completely funded by the auto insurance industry, a
fact the reporter doesn’t point out] said it was the first attempt to estimate
whether phone use increases the risk of an injury crash in automobiles.”
My, my. Everybody stop using cell phones in the car, right?
Let’s read on.
Further down we find that the “study” was published in the
British Medical Journal. But… this did
study Americans, right? That’s why it was conducted by an American
institute, fobbed off as being relevant to American cell phone usage and given
big play in the American media, right?
… counting down, eighth, ninth… tenth paragraph, long after
most readers have moved on to the sports page, we find the “study” examined “456 drivers in Perth, Western Australia,
who owned or used mobile phones and were in a crash that put them in a hospital
emergency room between April 2002 and July 2004.”
Ah. As we all know, of course, western Australia is so like urban
America the study’s results can be assumed to be identical to a similar study
conducted here, right? Puh-leeze. And
see if this methodology makes any sense
to you, First CoffeeSM can’t figure it out:
“Each driver's cell phone usage during a 10-minute interval
prior to the accident was compared to use during at least one earlier period
when no accident occurred. Each driver, in effect, served as his or her own
control group in the study.”
What that seems to be saying is that of some drivers who had
crashed who happened to be talking on cell phones in the ten minutes prior to
their crash, these same drivers at earlier times were not talking on the cell
phones and didn’t crash… no indication
of how frequently they drove talking on the cell phone without crashing, or how
many crashes overall are caused by cell phone usage, which to First CoffeeSM
would be two salient point of any worthwhile study.
First CoffeeSM is also curious how studying
people who crashed once while talking on cell phones after not crashing while
talking on cell phones before leads to the conclusion that talking on cell
phones makes one “four times” as likely to crash. Where did that number come
from given the methodology – “his or her own control group,” remember – used?
Much further down in the article, three paragraphs from the
end, where nobody except columnists fisking the article read, we find “Many
studies examining cell phone use in vehicles have been based on police reports,
but critics say the records are unreliable because it is difficult to
corroborate whether a driver was using a phone.”
The critics have a point. Police reports from
the Florida state highway patrol show that 1 in every 700 crashes is due to
cell phone usage, a statistic nobody on either side of the debate believes,
but that’s what the police reports say.
The article does mention the intriguing stat that “a survey
released earlier this year by the National Highway Traffic Safety
Administration found that 8 percent of drivers, or 1.2 million people, were
using cell phones during daylight hours last year. It represented a 50 percent
increase since 2002.”
It’s not mentioned whether there’s been a corresponding
increase in accidents, or how many of those 1.2 million got in wrecks because
of their cell phone usage.
First CoffeeSM would bet not many. A HealthScout
study done in 2001 found the following ranking of which distractions caused
accidents:
Outside
distractions, such as a eye-catching advertisement or eyeing another
accident, 19.7 percent.
Eating
and drinking, 18.8 percent.
Fiddling
with the car audio system, 11.4 percent.
Chatting
with other passengers, 9.4 percent.
Trying
to retrieve loose objects rolling about the car, 3.2 percent.
Cell phone usage, 1.5 percent.
And in 2003 the largest study to date
– 4,500 Americans, not a few hundred fair dinkum Aussies – the Virginia
Department of Motor Vehicles in conjunction with Virginia Commonwealth
University found the ordering of factors causing driver distraction bad enough
to cause an accident to be first rubbernecking (largely at accident sites
themselves), secondly driver fatigue, thirdly looking at scenery or landmarks,
fourthly passenger or child distractions, fifthly adjusting the radio, tape or
CD player, and sixthly cell phone use.
Another
researcher found that one-third of all accidents are caused by drivers
addled from prescription drugs – repeat: 33
percent of all accidents are caused by prescription drugs, the same percentage caused by drivers under
the influence of illegal drugs and alcohol
combined. Good luck banning prescription drug usage before driving.
So if you’re serious about driving safety instead of brainless
fact-free grandstanding, first ban all
the other factors that cause more accidents than cell phones, then come and
take First CoffeeSM’s cell phone away.
Ifread off-site hit http://blog.tmcnet.com/telecom-crm/
for the fully-linked version. First CoffeeSM accepts no sponsored
content. None, zip, nada. We don’t talk on a cell phone while writing this,
either.